ONE area in Berkshire is still predicted to be a Covid-19 hotspot despite other areas seeing cases decreasing.

Data on daily reported cases, weekly reported deaths and mathematical modelling is used to forecast the probability of weekly coronavirus rates in local authority areas across the UK surpassing 50 in the week leading up to March 20.

Coronavirus rates are an expression of the number of new cases in an area in relation to its population, and are calculated by dividing the number of new weekly cases by the area's population, then multiplying this by 100,000.

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Slough has a 44 per cent chance of having 50 or more cases this week, and this stays the same next week.

The borough has a six per cent chance of having 100 or more cases this week, though this chance decreased to five per cent as the week progresses.

The map does not expect the Slough area to see 200 cases in one week within the next two weeks.

Areas across some of Berkshire are also displaying as Covid hotspots, expecting to see cases rise above 50 each week.

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In Windsor and Maidenhead, there is a 33 per cent chance of 50 or more cases by April 18.

However in Bracknell Forest, there is an even lower chance at 11 per cent.

The map also predicts the chance of the R number - the average number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to - in each local authority rising above one.

In Slough, the probability of infections increasing is currently around 11 per cent.

Imperial College states that its projections for hotspots assume no change in interventions and human behaviour has been made since a week before the last observed data. The data was last updated on Sunday April 4 at 4pm.

Imperial College lists a number of limitations to its predictions.

It explained: "Predictions on this page assume no change in current interventions (lockdowns, school closures, and others) in the local area beyond those already taken about a week before the end of observations.

"An increase in cases in an area can be due to an increase in testing. The model currently does not account for this.

Each area (local authority) is treated independently apart from the overall Rt estimate for its region. Thus the epidemic in a region is neither affected by nor affects any other region. It also does not include importations from other countries.

"The population within an area is considered to be homogeneous - i.e. all individuals are considered equally likely to be affected by the disease progression."